Archive for the ‘Presidential Candidates’ Category

McDonnell takes to national stage

Monday, August 15th, 2011

Bob McDonnell reaches for the podium on July 19 as he prepares to announce a revenue surplus. |AP Photo

RICHMOND, Va. — Rick Perry, who joined the presidential race Saturday, isn’t the only GOP governor whose national profile is about to take off.

He’ll be joined by Virginia’s Bob McDonnell, who will replace him as chairman of the Republican Governors Association — a perch that is all but guaranteed to boost McDonnell’s political fortunes by providing a national platform and access to a fundraising network that would be useful in a future run for higher office.

With solid poll ratings as a swing state governor, McDonnell is already drawing attention as a possible GOP prospect for vice president in 2012. And in an extended interview in his office here, the Virginia governor expressed interest in the No. 2 spot on the national ticket.

“I’d be very interested. It is a swing state. I’m not asking for the call. I’m not looking for the call. As I’ve said many times, I’ve got the best job in America,” he told POLITICO. “But I think anybody who is in public life, if a presidential nominee called him and said, ‘I need your help to win,’ it would be a tremendous honor. … We’ll see. It’s going to be seven, eight, nine months before any of these decisions are made.”

McDonnell, who was elected in 2009, also left the door open to a 2016 run for president.

“I’ll be looking for a job in January 2014, but that’s an eternity in politics,” he said, smiling, an acknowledgment of the fact that Virginia governors can only serve one term. “I’ve got to do in four years what most governors get eight years to do if they’re doing a good job. So we’re just laser-focused on (getting) lots of results. By that time, my kids will all be out of college and my life will be a little bit different in 2016. So I don’t know. It’s so far down the road, I’m not focused on it.”

Perhaps, but the New Hampshire GOP announced Friday that McDonnell will be the keynote speaker at the party’s annual fundraiser on Sept. 26 in Concord. About 600 people are expected, including four to six current presidential candidates. The appearance will mark his first visit to New Hampshire since taking office.

Former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie, who chaired McDonnell’s campaign in 2009, said voters now think of McDonnell when they think of Virginia Republicans.

“I’d be surprised, given the nature of Virginia, his military experience [he retired from the Army Reserves as lieutenant colonel], his strong record in government and the fact that he’s so popular in such a swing state, I’d be surprised if the Republican nominee doesn’t look his way and consider him for his running mate,” Gillespie said, stressing that he was not speaking for McDonnell.

In his nearly two years in office, the Virginia governor has carefully positioned himself as a pragmatic conservative who is fixated on job creation (not the social issues that were important to his early political rise) and capable of working with Democrats to get big things done. After some early stumbles in 2010, his approval rating stood at 55 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released in late June and 62 percent in a Washington Post poll from May.

McDonnell has already been involved in RGA activities, motivated by the committee’s critical assistance to his own campaign — the RGA spent more than $6 million in independent expenditures on his behalf.

“He wanted to really return the favor,” said RGA executive director Phil Cox, who managed McDonnell’s 2009 campaign.

Cox guessed that McDonnell has made 10 out-of-state trips since becoming vice chair at the group’s winter meeting in San Diego last November.

With one of the top major donor programs of any committee — there are more than 600 participants in an executive roundtable that requires donors to give more than $25,000 each — the post of RGA chief is an attractive proposition for ambitious governors. Among those who have recently held the chairmanship: Mitt Romney, Haley Barbour and Rick Perry.

McDonnell is expected to officially take over sometime this week after Perry steps down.

“It’s a natural continuation of the path that he’s been on,” said Cox, who remains his closest political adviser. “That’s an excellent platform for anyone who is potentially looking at future opportunities.”

As for the current presidential contest, McDonnell thinks the GOP ought to nominate a governor in 2012, but said he plans to take a “wait-and-see” approach before wading into the contentious nomination fight.

“This is the most wide open race I’ve seen in the 20 years I’ve been in office,” he said. “Nobody’s breaking out of the pack. … I just think with all the problems that ail America, … a guy that’s been a successful governor is who you want.”

McDonnell said Perry will “absolutely” capture some support among the corps of Republican governors.

“Rick is well respected among Republican governors for good reason,” McDonnell said. “One, he’s just a heck of a nice guy. Number two, he’s got an impeccable record of job creation in Texas. … Three, you just look at a pathway to the nomination. He’s respected by tea party activists as well as evangelicals. Fourth, when he’s talking about America and federalism and free enterprise, he can stir up a crowd. He’s good. And he’s governed the second-largest state in the country for 10 years. He’s got a great pathway, and he’s got the passion to take on these liberal and irresponsible economic policies of President [Barack] Obama but do it in a way that has some Southern gentility to it, which means he’ll appeal to independents.”

He added that he also has complimentary things to say about Romney.

For now, McDonnell said his own primary political focus is on trying to win control of Virginia’s Democratic-controlled Senate this November.

McDonnell’s non-confrontational political style stands in marked contrast to New Jersey’s Chris Christie, the other Republican governor elected in 2009. But, calling the high-profile Christie a friend, McDonnell said the two men are of the same mind on the issues.

“He’s got a little different style, but in terms of our view of the world, of how you manage the finances of your state, how you manage retirement systems and things like that, we think an awful lot alike,” he said.

McDonnell’s approach places him at odds, at least stylistically, with his soon-to-be Democratic Governors Association counterpart, Gov. Martin O’Malley of Maryland. The neighboring governor has sharply criticized the GOP agenda, frequently taking on other governors by name. When asked about O’Malley — who is frequently mentioned as a Democratic presidential prospect — McDonnell simply said he doesn’t plan to start throwing out more red meat after he assumes his new post.

He went out of his way to praise state Senate Democrats who worked with him during the past legislative session to unanimously pass a balanced budget with no tax increases. He explained that they had little political incentive to help him govern, and he contrasted the scene in Richmond to the one in Washington.

“You try to find common ground,” he said. “You don’t shrink from your principles, but if you don’t ever make it personal, you can make friends. … That’s the way we govern here.”

McDonnell said he will publicly announce new budget projections that show a surplus this Thursday: “It’s gonna be a big number.”

In the same conversation, though, McDonnell praised Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker for his aggressive — and highly divisive — efforts to balance his state budget. McDonnell, who appeared at a fundraiser with Walker in Wisconsin two weeks ago, predicted the first-term Wisconsin governor will become more and more popular as his reforms take effect, and noted that the fights being waged by Republican governors in places like Ohio and Florida excite major donors. [Unlike other party committees, the governors associations can take money from corporations.]

Going forward, McDonnell predicted Obama, the first Democrat to win Virginia since 1964, will lose the state during his reelection bid next year.

“It’s going to be a tough road to hoe for the president,” he said. “His message is more taxes, more regulation, more unionization and more government. That’s not gonna sell in most places in Virginia.”

Bachmann-Perry Overdrive

Monday, August 15th, 2011

GOP voters are still searching for a unifying candidate.

The fight for the Republican Presidential nomination is finally getting underway in earnest, with Texas Governor Rick Perry bull-riding his way into the race and Michele Bachmann winning Saturday’s straw poll in Iowa. Both events show how unsettled the GOP contest still is, as voters search for a candidate who can beat a vulnerable President Obama.

Mrs. Bachmann, the Minnesota Congresswoman, has emerged from cable-TV land in recent months to be a viable competitor. She is telegenic, a hard worker, and has planted herself at the front of the tea party parade in hostility to all things Washington. This posture matches the current public mood and helps to explain why she surpassed fellow Minnesotan Tim Pawlenty, who dropped out of the race yesterday despite a far better record of accomplishment as a fiscally conservative two-term Governor of a left-leaning state. Mrs. Bachmann is a canny politician.

At the same time, winning a straw poll of activists is a long way from persuading voters she has the experience and judgment to sit in the Oval Office. (Libertarian Ron Paul, who has no chance to win the nomination, finished a close second.) Mrs. Bachmann has a record of errant statements (see Battle of Lexington and Concord, history of) that are forgiven by Fox Nation but won’t be if she makes them as a GOP standard-bearer.

More substantively, her attempt to position herself at all times as the anti-establishment outsider has made her seem on occasion less principled than opportunistic. She quickly distanced herself from Paul Ryan’s Medicare reform when it came under liberal fire, even as she purports to be the scourge of uncontrolled spending. Her recent opposition to the debt-ceiling deal on grounds that GOP leaders should have insisted on first passing a balanced budget amendment, while holding only the House, was a political fantasy.

Associated PressRepublican presidential candidate Rep. Michele Bachmann

Americans are already living with the consequences of electing a President who sounded good but had achieved little as a legislator and had no executive experience. Mrs. Bachmann will have to persuade voters she isn’t the conservative version of Mr. Obama.

Mr. Perry enters the race with a far more substantial record, notably 11 years leading one of America’s most economically successful states. As a conservative Governor, he is bidding to fill the vacuum in the race left when Indiana’s Mitch Daniels and Mississippi’s Haley Barbour declined to run, and by the failure of Mr. Pawlenty to gain traction.

The Dallas Federal Reserve recently found that 37% of all new net U.S. jobs since the recession ended were created in Texas. This is no small selling point on what is likely to be the dominant issue of 2012, and Mr. Perry knows how to link job growth to Texas’s policies of low taxes, spending control and tort reform.

The questions about Mr. Perry concern how well his Lone Star swagger will sell in the suburbs of Ohio, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where the election is likely to be decided. He can sound more Texas than Jerry Jones, George W. Bush and Sam Houston combined, and his muscular religiosity also may not play well at a time when the economy has eclipsed culture as the main voter concern.

The emergence of Mr. Perry and Mrs. Bachmann is nonetheless more evidence that GOP voters continue to have doubts about their candidates. Mitt Romney is a weak front-runner who has money and campaign experience and looks Presidential. But he gives little evidence that he has convictions beyond faith in his own technocratic expertise. Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman is likewise running on his resume more than a philosophy of government. We would have thought that John McCain proved you can’t beat Mr. Obama on biography.

Republicans and independents are desperate to find a candidate who can appeal across the party’s disparate factions and offer a vision of how to constrain a runaway government and revive America’s once-great private economy. If the current field isn’t up to that, perhaps someone still off the field will step in and run. Now would be the time.